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Ethiopia•Premier League
Monday, Mar 9, 2026, 12:00Mar 9, 12:00
DLDDW
WDWDD
AI Prediction
Top Pick40%
Away Win (2)
AI prediction points: 40%. Pick: Away Win (2). Correct Score: 0:1.
Correct Score0:1
Win Probabilities
Bahir Dar Kenema24%
Draw18%
Negele Arsi Ketema FC58%
Match Analysis
Negele Arsi Ketema FC is heavily favored to take the points, backed by a 58% win probability. Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Away Win (2), predicting a likely scoreline of 0:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Bahir Dar Kenema's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Bahir Dar Kenema
VS
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
Bahir Dar Kenema
VS
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
0.75
Goals Scored
1
0.75
Goals Scored
1
0.5
Goals Conceded
0.88
0.5
Goals Conceded
0.88
0.73
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
0.73
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
63%
Over 1.5
63%
63%
Over 1.5
63%
0%
Over 2.5
50%
0%
Over 2.5
50%
0%
Over 3.5
13%
0%
Over 3.5
13%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 09.03.26 | Bahir Dar KenemavsNegele Arsi Ketema FC | 0:0 |
| 02.11.25 | Negele Arsi Ketema FCvsBahir Dar Kenema | 0:0 |
Bahir Dar Kenema Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 21.06.26 | HawassavsBahir Dar Kenema | 0:0D |
| 16.06.26 | Bahir Dar KenemavsWelayta Dicha | 0:2L |
| 30.05.26 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FCvsBahir Dar Kenema | 0:0D |
| 19.05.26 | Bahir Dar KenemavsMechal SC | 1:1D |
| 15.05.26 | Dire DawavsBahir Dar Kenema | 0:2W |
Negele Arsi Ketema FC Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 26.06.26 | Negele Arsi Ketema FCvsEthiopia Nigd Bank | 2:0W |
| 20.06.26 | Sidama BunnavsNegele Arsi Ketema FC | 1:1D |
| 15.06.26 | Negele Arsi Ketema FCvsHawassa | 2:1W |
| 04.06.26 | Welayta DichavsNegele Arsi Ketema FC | 0:0D |
| 21.05.26 | Negele Arsi Ketema FCvsShire Endaselassie | 0:0D |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 37 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 43:22 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 37 | 15 | 15 | 7 | 37:27 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 36 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 44:29 | 56 |
| 4 | St. Georges | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 32:30 | 53 |
| 5 | Fasil Kenema | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 27:28 | 52 |
| 6 | Welayta Dicha | 37 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 37:31 | 50 |
| 7 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 30:25 | 50 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 40:39 | 50 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 36 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 34:28 | 49 |
| 10 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 37 | 9 | 20 | 8 | 26:26 | 47 |
| 11 | Hadiya Hossana | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 31:35 | 47 |
| 12 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 43:43 | 46 |
| 13 | Ethiopian Insurance | 37 | 10 | 16 | 11 | 30:30 | 46 |
| 14 | Welwalo Adigrat | 37 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 45 |
| 15 | Sheger Ketema FC | 36 | 9 | 17 | 10 | 30:31 | 44 |
| 16 | Adama City | 37 | 9 | 16 | 12 | 32:37 | 43 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 24:30 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 37 | 8 | 15 | 14 | 25:40 | 39 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 23:38 | 37 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 37 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 29:44 | 35 |