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Ethiopia•Premier League
Friday, Feb 27, 2026, 15:00Feb 27, 15:00
DLDLD
LLLWW
Match Events
20'
⚽Shamena B.
31'
⚽Yasin Y.
20'
⚽
Shamena B.
Arba Menche
31'
⚽
Yasin Y.
Arba Menche
AI Prediction
Top Pick30%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 30%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 1:0.
Correct Score1:0
Win Probabilities
Bahir Dar Kenema56%
Draw18.5%
Arba Menche25.5%
Match Analysis
Bahir Dar Kenema enters this match as the clear favorite with a 56% chance of securing a win. Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:0. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Bahir Dar Kenema's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Bahir Dar Kenema
VS
Arba Menche
Bahir Dar Kenema
VS
Arba Menche
0.75
Goals Scored
1
0.75
Goals Scored
1
0.5
Goals Conceded
1.13
0.5
Goals Conceded
1.13
0.80
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
0.80
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
63%
Over 1.5
75%
63%
Over 1.5
75%
0%
Over 2.5
38%
0%
Over 2.5
38%
0%
Over 3.5
13%
0%
Over 3.5
13%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 27.02.26 | Bahir Dar KenemavsArba Menche | 0:2 |
| 24.10.25 | Arba MenchevsBahir Dar Kenema | 1:1 |
| 28.05.25 | Bahir Dar KenemavsArba Menche | 0:2 |
| 26.10.24 | Arba MenchevsBahir Dar Kenema | 1:0 |
| 02.05.23 | Bahir Dar KenemavsArba Menche | 2:2 |
Bahir Dar Kenema Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 03.07.26 | Ethiopia Nigd BankvsBahir Dar Kenema | 2:2D |
| 28.06.26 | Bahir Dar KenemavsSidama Bunna | 0:1L |
| 21.06.26 | HawassavsBahir Dar Kenema | 0:0D |
| 16.06.26 | Bahir Dar KenemavsWelayta Dicha | 0:2L |
| 30.05.26 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FCvsBahir Dar Kenema | 0:0D |
Arba Menche Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 01.07.26 | Dire DawavsArba Menche | 2:1L |
| 26.06.26 | Arba MenchevsWelwalo Adigrat | 0:1L |
| 22.06.26 | Fasil KenemavsArba Menche | 2:0L |
| 15.06.26 | Arba MenchevsShire Endaselassie | 2:0W |
| 28.05.26 | Mechal SCvsArba Menche | 1:2W |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |