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Mexico•Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026
Thursday, Mar 5, 2026, 03:00Mar 5, 03:00
DWWLL
WLWWL
Match Events
38'
🟨Cisneros C.
Robles A.🔄
Out: Robles A. In: Renteria R.
46'
52'
🟨Cisneros C.
52'
🟥Cisneros C.
59'
🔄De Jesus Bravo Santiago A.
Out: De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. In: Villa O.
67'
🔄Perez J.
Out: Perez J. In: Gil O.
68'
🔄Hernandez S. A.
Out: Hernandez S. A. In: Brigido J.
Zurita Jimenez U.🔄
Out: Zurita Jimenez U. In: Vazquez S.
69'
Vazquez I.🔄
Out: Vazquez I. In: Alvarez D.
69'
Alaffita Garcia E. J.⚽
79'
80'
🔄Gonzalez O.
Out: Gonzalez O. In: Valenzuela M.
80'
🔄Munoz D.
Out: Munoz D. In: Rivera E.
Vazquez S.🟨
82'
Millan O.🔄
Out: Millan O. In: Jaimes U.
83'
Jaimes U.⚽
85'
Jaimes U.⚽
88'
Illescas F.🔄
Out: Illescas F. In: Soto A.
89'
38'
🟨
Cisneros C.
Leones Negros
46'
🔄
Robles A.
Out: Robles A. | In: Renteria R.
Atletico La Paz
52'
🟨
Cisneros C.
Leones Negros
52'
🟥
Cisneros C.
Leones Negros
59'
🔄
De Jesus Bravo Santiago A.
Out: De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. | In: Villa O.
Leones Negros
67'
🔄
Perez J.
Out: Perez J. | In: Gil O.
Leones Negros
68'
🔄
Hernandez S. A.
Out: Hernandez S. A. | In: Brigido J.
Leones Negros
69'
🔄
Zurita Jimenez U.
Out: Zurita Jimenez U. | In: Vazquez S.
Atletico La Paz
69'
🔄
Vazquez I.
Out: Vazquez I. | In: Alvarez D.
Atletico La Paz
79'
⚽
Alaffita Garcia E. J.
Atletico La Paz
80'
🔄
Gonzalez O.
Out: Gonzalez O. | In: Valenzuela M.
Leones Negros
80'
🔄
Munoz D.
Out: Munoz D. | In: Rivera E.
Leones Negros
82'
🟨
Vazquez S.
Atletico La Paz
83'
🔄
Millan O.
Out: Millan O. | In: Jaimes U.
Atletico La Paz
85'
⚽
Jaimes U.
Atletico La Paz
88'
⚽
Jaimes U.
Atletico La Paz
89'
🔄
Illescas F.
Out: Illescas F. | In: Soto A.
Atletico La Paz
AI Prediction
Top Pick40%
Draw (X)
AI prediction points: 40%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 2:2.
Correct Score2:2
Win Probabilities
Atletico La Paz26%
Draw48%
Leones Negros26%
Match Analysis
This matchup in the Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between Atletico La Paz (26%) and Leones Negros (26%). Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:2. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Atletico La Paz's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Atletico La Paz
VS
Leones Negros
Atletico La Paz
VS
Leones Negros
1.5
Goals Scored
1.63
1.5
Goals Scored
1.63
1.63
Goals Conceded
1.13
1.63
Goals Conceded
1.13
1.29
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
1.29
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
88%
Over 1.5
75%
88%
Over 1.5
75%
50%
Over 2.5
63%
50%
Over 2.5
63%
38%
Over 3.5
38%
38%
Over 3.5
38%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 05.03.26 | Atletico La PazvsLeones Negros | 3:0 |
| 14.09.25 | Leones NegrosvsAtletico La Paz | 2:3 |
| 29.03.25 | Atletico La PazvsLeones Negros | 3:1 |
| 13.10.24 | Leones NegrosvsAtletico La Paz | 3:0 |
| 06.05.24 | Leones NegrosvsAtletico La Paz | 3:1 |
Atletico La Paz Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 22.08.26 | Atletico La PazvsCruz Azul Hidalgo | 1:1D |
| 15.08.26 | Atletico La PazvsPiratas | 2:0W |
| 08.08.26 | Tepatitlan de MorelosvsAtletico La Paz | 0:5W |
| 01.08.26 | Atletico La PazvsAlacranes de Durango | 0:1L |
| 26.07.26 | Club Atletico MoreliavsAtletico La Paz | 4:2L |
Leones Negros Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 16.08.26 | Leones NegrosvsJaiba Brava | 4:0W |
| 07.08.26 | Leones NegrosvsCorrecaminos | 1:3L |
| 02.08.26 | CancunvsLeones Negros | 0:2W |
| 25.07.26 | TlaxcalavsLeones Negros | 2:4W |
| 19.04.26 | Leones NegrosvsCancun | 1:2L |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Cancun | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24:17 | 25 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Morelia | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 18:12 | 23 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 22:12 | 22 |
| 5 | Jaiba Brava | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15:15 | 21 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | 21 |
| 7 | Tapatio | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 28:24 | 20 |
| 8 | Atlante | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 21:17 | 20 |
| 9 | Irapuato | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 27:24 | 20 |
| 10 | Tlaxcala | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:17 | 20 |
| 11 | Venados FC | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 25:25 | 16 |
| 12 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 20:29 | 16 |
| 13 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17:28 | 13 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:27 | 12 |
| 15 | Leones Negros | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:25 | 11 |