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England•National League North
Saturday, Feb 21, 2026, 15:00Feb 21, 15:00
DWDDW
LLWLL
Match Events
41'
⚽Evans K.
70'
⚽Twamley L.
Freeman K.⚽
73'
Ayres J.⚽
87'
Ayres J.⚽
90'
41'
⚽
Evans K.
Merthyr Town
70'
⚽
Twamley L.
Merthyr Town
73'
⚽
Freeman K.
Alfreton
87'
⚽
Ayres J.
Alfreton
90'
⚽
Ayres J.
Alfreton
AI Prediction
Top Pick90%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 90%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 2:1.
Correct Score2:1
Win Probabilities
Alfreton68%
Draw15.5%
Merthyr Town16.5%
Match Analysis
Alfreton enters this match as the clear favorite with a 68% chance of securing a win. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Alfreton's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Alfreton
VS
Merthyr Town
Alfreton
VS
Merthyr Town
1
Goals Scored
1.38
1
Goals Scored
1.38
1.38
Goals Conceded
2.5
1.38
Goals Conceded
2.5
1.35
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
1.35
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
88%
Over 1.5
100%
88%
Over 1.5
100%
50%
Over 2.5
88%
50%
Over 2.5
88%
0%
Over 3.5
50%
0%
Over 3.5
50%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 21.02.26 | AlfretonvsMerthyr Town | 3:2 |
| 22.11.25 | Merthyr TownvsAlfreton | 6:2 |
Alfreton Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 25.04.26 | AlfretonvsCurzon Ashton | 3:3D |
| 18.04.26 | MarinevsAlfreton | 2:3W |
| 14.04.26 | AlfretonvsBuxton | 2:2D |
| 11.04.26 | AlfretonvsOxford City | 1:1D |
| 06.04.26 | LeamingtonvsAlfreton | 1:2W |
Merthyr Town Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 25.04.26 | Merthyr TownvsAFC Fylde | 2:4L |
| 18.04.26 | Scarborough AthleticvsMerthyr Town | 2:1L |
| 14.04.26 | MarinevsMerthyr Town | 1:3W |
| 11.04.26 | Merthyr TownvsMacclesfield | 1:2L |
| 06.04.26 | HerefordvsMerthyr Town | 3:0L |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AFC Fylde | 46 | 32 | 4 | 10 | 112:51 | 100 |
| 2 | South Shields | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 99:43 | 95 |
| 3 | Kidderminster | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 74:51 | 87 |
| 4 | Macclesfield | 46 | 24 | 7 | 15 | 81:68 | 79 |
| 5 | Buxton | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 83:61 | 73 |
| 6 | Scarborough Athletic | 46 | 19 | 16 | 11 | 61:52 | 73 |
| 7 | Chester | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 66:64 | 73 |
| 8 | Merthyr Town | 46 | 22 | 4 | 20 | 95:86 | 70 |
| 9 | Darlington FC | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 78:68 | 69 |
| 10 | Spennymoor | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 62:69 | 68 |
| 11 | Telford | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 85:65 | 65 |
| 12 | Marine | 46 | 18 | 8 | 20 | 62:72 | 62 |
| 13 | Radcliffe | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 76:83 | 60 |
| 14 | Southport | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 64:71 | 60 |
| 15 | Chorley | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 66:65 | 57 |
| 16 | Worksop | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 66:74 | 57 |
| 17 | Oxford City | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 62:67 | 56 |
| 18 | Bedford | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 66:77 | 53 |
| 19 | King’s Lynn | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 56:64 | 52 |
| 20 | Hereford | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 64:79 | 52 |
| 21 | Curzon Ashton | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 67:88 | 52 |
| 22 | Alfreton | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 49:82 | 50 |
| 23 | Peterborough Sports | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 51:96 | 39 |
| 24 | Leamington | 46 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 41:90 | 29 |