Alaves vs Atl. Madrid Prediction & Stats

Spain•LaLiga

Saturday, Oct 10, 2026, 14:15Oct 10, 14:15

Atl. Madrid

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Match Events

33'

⚽Grimaldo A.

45'

🟨Lookman A.

45'

🟨Le Normand R.

Boye L.•

45'

47'

🔄David J.

Out: David J. In: Baena A.

47'

🔄Lookman A.

Out: Lookman A. In: Alvarez J.

57'

🔄Barrios P.

Out: Barrios P. In: Lee Kang-In

Perez A.🟥

61'

62'

🔄Le Normand R.

Out: Le Normand R. In: Hancko D.

Blanco A.🔄

Out: Blanco A. In: Protesoni C.

64'

Martinez T.🔄

Out: Martinez T. In: Diaz M.

64'

Boye L.🔄

Out: Boye L. In: Guevara A.

65'

Valentini N.🔄

Out: Valentini N. In: Koski V.

71'

73'

🔄Simeone G.

Out: Simeone G. In: Sorloth A.

Suarez D.🔄

Out: Suarez D. In: Manas A.

79'

87'

⚽Romero C.

90'

🟨Cardoso J.

33'

⚽

Grimaldo A.

Atl. Madrid

45'

🟨

Lookman A.

Atl. Madrid

45'

🟨

Le Normand R.

Atl. Madrid

45'

•

Boye L.

Alaves

47'

🔄

David J.

Out: David J. | In: Baena A.

Atl. Madrid

47'

🔄

Lookman A.

Out: Lookman A. | In: Alvarez J.

Atl. Madrid

57'

🔄

Barrios P.

Out: Barrios P. | In: Lee Kang-In

Atl. Madrid

61'

🟥

Perez A.

Alaves

62'

🔄

Le Normand R.

Out: Le Normand R. | In: Hancko D.

Atl. Madrid

64'

🔄

Blanco A.

Out: Blanco A. | In: Protesoni C.

Alaves

64'

🔄

Martinez T.

Out: Martinez T. | In: Diaz M.

Alaves

65'

🔄

Boye L.

Out: Boye L. | In: Guevara A.

Alaves

71'

🔄

Valentini N.

Out: Valentini N. | In: Koski V.

Alaves

73'

🔄

Simeone G.

Out: Simeone G. | In: Sorloth A.

Atl. Madrid

79'

🔄

Suarez D.

Out: Suarez D. | In: Manas A.

Alaves

87'

⚽

Romero C.

Atl. Madrid

90'

🟨

Cardoso J.

Atl. Madrid

AI Prediction

Top Pick70%

Away Win (2)

AI prediction points: 70%. Pick: Away Win (2). Correct Score: 0:1.

Correct Score0:1

Win Probabilities

Alaves19.5%

Draw16.5%

Atl. Madrid64%

Match Analysis

Atl. Madrid is heavily favored to take the points, backed by a 64% win probability. Our AI model recommends backing Away Win (2), predicting a likely scoreline of 0:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Alaves's home ground.

Scoring Trends

Alaves

Atl. Madrid

Alaves

Atl. Madrid

1.13

Goals Scored

2.13

1.13

Goals Scored

2.13

Goals Conceded

1.25

Goals Conceded

1.25

1.08

Expected Goals (xG)

1.45

1.08

Expected Goals (xG)

1.45

50%

Over 1.5

100%

50%

Over 1.5

100%

38%

Over 2.5

100%

38%

Over 2.5

100%

13%

Over 3.5

38%

13%

Over 3.5

38%

Head to Head Matches (H2H)

Date	Match	Score
10.10.26	AlavesvsAtl. Madrid	1:2
18.01.26	Atl. MadridvsAlaves	1:0
30.08.25	AlavesvsAtl. Madrid	1:1
03.05.25	AlavesvsAtl. Madrid	0:0
23.11.24	Atl. MadridvsAlaves	2:1

Alaves Last Matches

Date	Match	Score
10.10.26	AlavesvsAtl. Madrid	1:2L
19.09.26	Ath BilbaovsAlaves	0:0D
15.09.26	AlavesvsValencia	0:1L
12.09.26	Racing SantandervsAlaves	2:1L
06.09.26	AlavesvsOsasuna	5:2W

Atl. Madrid Last Matches

Date	Match	Score
17.10.26	EspanyolvsAtl. Madrid	0:1W
13.10.26	Atl. MadridvsManchester United	2:0W
10.10.26	AlavesvsAtl. Madrid	1:2W
20.09.26	Atl. MadridvsReal Madrid	2:1W
16.09.26	Atl. MadridvsOsasuna	4:0W

Group A

#	Team	PL	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	9	9	0	0	39:9	27
2	Atl. Madrid	9	7	1	1	19:8	22
3	Betis	9	6	1	2	16:14	19
4	Real Madrid	8	6	0	2	19:8	18
5	Sevilla	8	4	2	2	13:12	14
6	Real Sociedad	8	4	1	3	12:15	13
7	Alaves	8	3	2	3	12:8	11
8	Dep. A Coruna	9	2	5	2	13:12	11
9	Ath Bilbao	7	2	3	2	7:6	9
10	Villarreal	9	2	3	4	13:13	9
11	Celta Vigo	8	1	5	2	8:6	8
12	Espanyol	9	2	2	5	11:12	8
13	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11:16	8
14	Getafe	8	2	2	4	4:10	8
15	Racing Santander	8	2	2	4	13:23	8
16	Osasuna	8	2	2	4	8:18	8
17	Levante	8	1	4	3	12:16	7
18	Elche	9	1	4	4	11:17	7
19	Valencia	9	1	3	5	6:15	6
20	Malaga	8	0	4	4	4:13	4

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